Economic Analysis of Law
Spring
2007
1/9/07
v Mechanics
¯ Midterm
¯ Final
¯ Case
¤ Any case past or present
¤ That wasnÕt argued on economic terms
¤ And isnÕt in my book or PosnerÕs
¤ Oral or written
¤ Due in or after the week in which the relevant part of the law is discussed.
¯ Readings
¤ My book
á Virtual footnotes
á My problem
¤ At least one article, perhaps a few
v What is economics?
¯ A way of understanding behavior
¤ Based on the assumption of rationality
¤ Meaning that individuals have objectives
¤ And tend to choose the best way of achieving them.
¤ Not that they are perfect cold blooded calculators.
¯ Examples
¤ Rational baby
¤ Rational cat
¯ Lessons
¤ Rationality doesnÕt have to come from calculation
á It might be produced by evolution (babies and cats)
á Or selection (CEOÕs).
á Or trial and error (my route home).
¤ The assumption doesnÕt have to be entirely true to be useful
á People make mistakes, but É
á Unless you have a theory of mistakes
á It makes sense to assume rationality and allow for sometimes being wrong.
á You may know yourself well enough (Posner story). Theory of other people.
á For one theory of mistakes, see the article on economics and evolutionary biology on my web page.
v What does it have to do with law?
¯ Law as incentive
¤ If we have this legal rule, how will people behave?
¤ Consider expanded discovery in civil litigation
á An incentive not to keep some kinds of records
á Maybe not to ask some questions
á Also a way of raising costs to your opponent
¤ Consider legal rules making homeowners civilly or criminally liable for injuring robbers
á It might make them less likely to use deadly force, or É
á More likely
á My Philadelphia story
¤ Consider civil forfeiture
á The idea
á Might make innocents more careful about how their property is used, but É
á Might also give law enforcement agents an incentive to target valuable property.
á BensonÕs result on the effect of legal changes.
¤ So economics provides a way of predicting the consequences of law
á Assuming rationality of potential criminals, but also of É
á Litigators
á Cops, É
¤ Forward not backward looking
á The central question is not Òhow ought the mess to be settledÓ but É
á How will the way we settle this mess affect the behavior of people in the future
á ÒClean up your own messÓ as an economically efficient rule.
¯ Predicting and explaining what the law is
¤ Posner conjecture:
á Legal rules are designed to maximize the size of the pie
á Which he calls wealth maximization
á And I call economic efficiency.
á And which will be explained and discussed in more detail later.
¤ Why would it be true?
á Because it is one of the few good things judges can do, so they do it?
á Because of some invisible hand mechanism? Inefficient rules lead to litigation which leads to a change in the law?
á Neither is very convincingÑwill come back to them at the end. But É
¤ Has created a project that has played a central role in law and econ
á Figure out, in each case, what legal rules would maximize efficiency
á Compare it with the legal rules that exist
¤ In the final chapter I try to sum up the evidence on whether the conjecture is true, but É
¤ True or false, it has led to a lot of interesting work.
¯ Recommending what the law should be
¤ If you think economic efficiency is a reasonable thing for the law to aim it
¤ Then you can reverse the argument above
¤ Figure out what the law should be and if it isnÕt try to change it.
¯ Of these three projects
¤ The first is the least disputableÑfigure out consequences
¤ The second is an empirical conjecture
¤ The third ultimately a normative project. But easily confused with the second.
¤ Note that one could believe that the law is efficient but shouldnÕt be, or isnÕt but should.
¯ One interesting feature of the project is that it tends to unify the law
¤ We see the same economic analysis appearing
¤ Across all of the standard categories of the law.
v Law, economics and justice
¯ Many people think law can best be explained and judged in terms of justice
¯ The approach in this book almost entirely ignores such considerations
¤ Most strikingly, in giving the same weight to costs and benefits of criminals as to costs and benefits to victims
¤ In part because deciding who is a criminal requires a theory of what the law should be
¤ Which is one of the things we are trying to produce
¤ In part because one interesting result of the project is seeing how much of what we think we favor because it is just in fact is efficient.
¤ And in part because I donÕt think we have an adequate theory of justice.
v What economists can learn
¯ Abstract theory can make quite serious mistakes
¤ PropertyÑI own the land or I donÕt own the land
¤ ContractÑI agree to do X
¯ Looking at the real world application of the theory may highlight those mistakes
¤ Just what rights do I own with regard to the land
¤ What counts as violation of the contract, what are the penalties?
¯ And sometimes the result is better theory
¤ CoaseÕs ÒThe Problem of Social CostÓ
¤ Came in part out of Coase looking at law cases and
¤ Demonstrated that the approach to externalities generally accepted by economists was fundamentally wrong
¤ Making it one of the most cited articles in modern economics
¤ Stigler story about U of Chicago.
v Road map to the course
¯ Two approachesÑorganized by economics or by law. Do both.
¯ First half: by economics
¤ Efficiency
¤ Externalities
á Two approaches
á Using the theory to design legal rules
á In particular, decide who has what rights and how protected
á Property rule vs liability rule.
¤ Economics of risk
¤ Ex Post/Ex Ante enforcement
¤ Game Theory
¤ Value of life
¯ Midterm
¯ Second half: by law
v Property
v Intellectual Property
v Contract
v Family Law
v Tort
v Crime
v Antitrust
¯ Extra stuff
v Some Very Different Systems of Legal Rules
¯ Saga period IcelandÑpure tort on steroids
¯ 18th c. England
¯ Shasta CountyÑnorms as a substitute for law
v The Tort/Crime puzzle
v Is the Common Law Efficient?
1/11/07
v Review
¯ Course mechanics
¤ Midterm
¤ Final
¤ Either brief written or oral econ defense of one side of a case.
¯ What is economics?
¤ The approach to understanding behavior that starts by assuming
¤ Individuals have objectives
¤ And tend to choose the acts that best achieve them
¯ What does it have to do with law?
¤ Law as incentive
á Suppose
á
¯ One important concept in the field as it has developed is
¤ Economic efficiency
¤ Aka value maximization
¤ As a conjecture about the pattern of the common law
¤ Or a proposal for what the law ought to be
v What is efficiency?
¯ The problem:
¤ Any change in legal rules (or anything else)
¤ Affects lots of people in different ways
¤ Making some better off and some worse off
¤ Is there any way of summing?
¯ MarshallÕs answer
¤ Determine, for each person
¤ How much he would pay to get the change (+) or prevent (-)
¤ Sum those numbers
¤ If positive, an improvement
¯ Misunderstandings
¤ We donÕt determine it by asking but by how people act
á For instance, if I offer you an apple for a dollar and you buy it
á That is evidence that the apple was worth more to you, less to me
á Hence that, if nobody else was effected, that change was an improvement
¤ We are talking about changes in value to people, not flows of money
á Apple case, same nbr of dollars before and after, but improvement
á Same improvement if I lost the apple and you found it
á Or if you stole it.
¯ Problems
¤ We are judging by actions but people may not know what is good for them
á Insulin to a diabetic is valuable
á And heroin to an addict
á And potato chips and spare ribs to me
á As shown by their actions
¤ We are only allowing for values to humans
á Perhaps there are things that matter whether or not they matter to people
á Redwood trees. Live oak in my back yard. Lightning bolt
á Mona Lisa?
¤ We are ignoring the different amounts of happiness measured by a dollar.
á Most obviously, rich vs poor
á Less obviously, ascetic vs materialist.
v Answers to problems
¯ People may not always know, but what alternative is there on which we can base legal rules?
¤ Someone else not only may not know what is good for me, he may make the decisions in his interest rather than mine.
¤ Expertise I can always borrow.
¯ Other values
¤ Might be real, but É
¤ Except as they are valued by people
¤ How are they going to affect human action?
¤ The tree canÕt sue.
¯ Rich/poor etc. Arguably the strongest.
¤ One answer is that courts donÕt have much power to redistribute.
á Consider court that routinely favors poor tenants
á The result is to raise the cost of landlords who rent to them
á And ultimately to make housing less available or more expensive to poor people
á Consider Ch1 discussion of nonwaivable warranty of habitability
¤ Another version is that redistribution through the tax system makes more sense.
¤ MarshallÕs was that for most issues it averages out.
¤ Final answer is that it is much easier to see how to create institutions to maximize value than to maximize happiness
á Value demonstrated, in comparable form, by market acts
á Every time I buy an apple
á So a market gives us a way of maximizing value. BookÑw third party.
á How do you demonstrate utility of an apple.
v Conclusion
¯ Considered as a normative criterion, efficiency is a proxy for utility/happiness
¤ Used because it is much easier to implement
¤ And the legal rules that maximize it are close to those that would maximize happiness.
¯ Considered as a predictive criterion, efficiency is probably better than happiness
¤ What affects legislatures is how much money they are offered to vote for a bill
¤ What affects litigation is how much people are willing to spend
¤ Only if judges are deliberately trying to do good might happiness make more sense, assuming they could separately maximize it.
v Note for economics students
¯ Two other concepts of efficiency in the textbook
¤ Pareto efficiency
¤ Hicks/Kaldor efficiency
¯ For reasons I donÕt use either, see my webbed price theory chapter on efficiency.
v Alternatives?
¯ Can you offer a better general criterion of goodness?
¯ How would you operationalise it?
¯